Operation Cold Start, the possible war scenario between India, Pakistan & China

In 2005 India announced a new military doctrine called Start Cold mainly targeting Pakistan as its potential enemy. In November 2009, Indian army chief made a statement that there is a possibility of a limited war between Pakistan and India in a nuclear overhang. In December 2009, Indian chief announced that India is ready to take on both Pakistan and China in a ‘two front war’ simultaneously. These statements spurred a quick reaction in Pakistani media and military establishment.
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COLD START: THREAT TO PAKISTAN & CHINA

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by Farzana Shah

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In 2005 India announced a new military doctrine called Start Cold mainly targeting Pakistan as its potential enemy. In November 2009, Indian army chief made a statement that there is a possibility of a limited war between Pakistan and India in a nuclear overhang. In December 2009, Indian chief announced that India is ready to take on both Pakistan and China in a ‘two front war’ simultaneously. These statements spurred a quick reaction in Pakistani media and military establishment.

INDIAN STATEMENTS

Indian army chief statement came in a closed door seminar in Shimla based military academy on five year review of its military doctrine and operational preparedness. Full details of the Indian chief speech are not known but what is released to media can be summarized as under;

1. India is in position to mobilize its forces so that they can move into enemy territory within 96 hours to execute its Cold Start military doctrine.

2. India is now ready to take on Pakistan and China both in a “two front war” in a nuclear over hang.


3.
India is going to enhance its “strategic reach and out-of-area capabilities” to protect its interests from Malacca strait to Persian Gulf.

4. To achieve above mentioned goals India would attain “operational synergy” between the three services


5.
Countering “both military and non-military facets of asymmetric and sub-conventional threats.”

Indian army chief’s statements met with prompt reply from Pakistani military top brass. “Proponents of conventional application of military forces, in a nuclear overhang, are charting an adventurous and dangerous path, the consequences of which could be both unintended and uncontrollable,” said General Kiyani, CoAS Pakistan army. The next day Chairman joint Chief of Staff General Tariq Majeed responded to two front war doctrine in these words, “Leave alone China, General Deepak Kapoor knows very well what the Indian Army cannot and the Pakistan Army can pull off militarily”. He said the Indian Army chief “could not be so outlandish in strategic postulations to fix India on a self-destruct mechanism”.

Although Pakistan army made it clear that it is alive to the threats faced by the nation and recent history has proved that despite its numerical advantage and bigger economy, India was not able to initiate a war against Pakistan. It is important to look at drivers behind these statements by Indian army chief and how come this time Indian military establishment is so confident about their preparedness to take not only Pakistan but also China in a future war whereas in a previous stand off just 8 years ago the same Indian army could not fire a single bullet?

First it would be prudent to seek why these statements by Indian army chief came at this point of the time.

Indian army chief’s statements came when there are lots of things taking place in Pakistan’s internal politics at a rapid pace.

There is a critical political turmoil in the country especially after the Supreme Court of Pakistan’s decision on controversial NRO case. Though no final judgment has been issued but it seems that a large number of government members and ministers would be disqualified as their legitimacy for an elected parliamentarian would nullified once the final decision is announced and these members and ministers would have to leave their seats and criminal cases against them would be reopened in the courts. The danger of disqualification is not limited to ministers but president of Pakistan is also endangered by this decision of SC. If the court decided that President Zardari must come to court to clear allegation of corruption against him this would create another political crisis in the country where law and order situation is already very fragile due to war on terror.

Law and order situation in Pakistan turned worst in year 2009 due to suicide attacks throughout the country. At the beginning of 2010, situation in previously the calm Karachi city has also turned worrisome regarding law and order. The city witnessed worst kind of riots and arson in history during last three weeks.

Militarily Pakistan army is stretched from Khyber to Karachi, now on both Eastern and Western borders. Pakistan army currently is combating TTP in South Waziristan after taking back Malakand division. According to recent news, Pakistan army has sealed roads to Orakzai agency before launching a full fledged operation there as well.

Recently a group of US senators visited Pakistan and had meetings with top brass of Pakistan army during their visit. It was also indicated by some senators that Pakistan army soon would launch an operation in North Waziristan as well. This will stretch Pakistan army further along with Afghan border. Active part of ‘Operation Rah-i-Rast’ in Swat / Malakand is over though but still Pakistan army units are there as civilian forces, and are not ready to take control of the whole region. Army and the provincial government are building community police setup there, but it would take some time to get control.

Pakistan armed forces are undergoing a massive modernization program which is about to be completed not earlier than 2019. Modernization enhances skills of any force but it also includes a learning cover and time to absorb technology. Pakistan air force would go nearly a complete overhaul as almost entire fleet of PAF would be eventually replaced with new one till 2019.

On the other hand Indian forces are getting latest weapon system since long and are in better position and have a clear numerical strength against Pakistani forces. All above factors made current time more feasible for India to launch its preemptive strikes against Pakistan army and its infrastructure by executing Indian Cold Start doctrine.

ULTIMATE INDIAN PLAN: COLD START & 4TH GENERATION WARFARE [4GWs]

Though Pakistani response at military level was well calculated and prompts along with a strong response from Pakistani foreign office, but still it would be prudent to study Indian military preparedness and the doctrine

The Indian army plan is not new, but Indian military establishment devised this plan to take on Pakistan and China in a war simultaneously some five years ago. A careful look at statement of Indian army chief makes it clear that Indians are eying establishing a strong military footprint in Indian Ocean from Malacca strait to Persian Gulf.

“This would enable us to protect our island territories; also give assistance to the littoral states in the Indian Ocean Region,” said Gen Kapoor.

Cold start doctrine is not about capturing Pakistani territory but inflicting as much damage as possible to enemy forces and infrastructure within matter of hours. It is more like a hit and run tactics giving no time to Pakistan to react.

Indian military adopted Cold start on April 28, 2004, after a 10 months long standoff (Operation Parakram) with Pakistan army along 2500 kilometer Indo-Pak border in 2002. In this stand off Indian army strike formation took almost a month to be mobilized. Contrary to this, Cold Start emphasizes on quick deployment of forces and synergize operations of all three services towards destruction of Pakistan army defenses and units in short possible time. But is it all that easily possible? Does Indian military have that kind of inter service coordination to implement Cold Start in real war? This is the point where some Pakistani analysts believe that India still doesn’t have the capability to carry on its Cold Start doctrine against Pakistan. An objective analysis of this aspect is only possible after studying Indian strategic military planning against Pakistan during last five years can answer this important question.

To overcome inter services coordination a separate South-Western Army Command has been formed since 2005 which deals with Indian military deployment and operations along with Pakistani borders only. One of the major reasons for raising new command was to fulfill the demands of integrated battle groups consisting Indian army and air force units and squadrons. India is working on its preparedness for surgical strikes with these battles group since 2005, now and the job of fine tuning these tactics is assigned to Army Training Command (ARTRAC) and the Army War College. From statement made by Lt. Gen. Lamba it is evident that India is ready to go to war with Pakistan and China simultaneously.

Another reason for adopting Cold Start by India is to minimize the reaction time available for diplomatic solution of any potential crisis like one emerged after Mumbai attacks in November 2008. Indian government and forces were under pressure to carryout some surgical strikes on so called terrorist infrastructure on the Pakistani soil. Under Cold Start Indian military would make sure that any diplomatic solution comes after India gets all its objectives. A war between Pakistan and India would jeopardize the entire war on terror. But still India would need a pretext to execute its Cold Start doctrine and this is where 4th generation warfare comes into equation.

Use of 4th generation warfare against Pakistan is a more dangerous and disturbing angle of Indian designs which most defense analysts in Pakistan have overlooked. This paradigm of warfare revolves around asymmetrical warfare to get a moral victory with minimum nation state involvement. It is necessary to understand major difference between various generations of warfare and figuring out which one of these Pakistan is facing now. First generation revolved around conscription and firearms. Nepoleonic wars can be categorized in this generation. Second generation involved nation-state armies, alignment of warfare resources and raw firepower. WWI can be categorized as 2nd generation warfare. Third generation warfare included armored warfare and maneuvering and best example of this generation of warfare was WWII which ended only after usage of nuclear weapons in Japan in 1945.

By the end of 20th century Russia invaded Afghanistan and this was the start of a new generation of warfare. Though guerilla warfare is very old but in 1982 after direct involvement of CIA in this conflict, this guerilla warfare gave birth to fourth generation warfare (4GWs) that works on principle of lesser to no nation state involvement but rely on ad-hoc warriors and moral conflicts. Other imperatives of 4GWs include adaptation of technology to surprise the enemy and information warfare.

A careful look at what Pakistan army is combating in FATA makes it clear that Pakistan army is dealing with first phase of Indian design against Pakistan which deals with winning a moral war by adopting 4GWs.It cannot be a coincidence that Pakistan army is facing an enemy who has; ad-hoc fighters, propaganda warfare capabilities in form of FM radios, very advanced weaponry and communication gear. This is indeed not a war waged just for revenge against Pakistan army to side US after 9/11. If it is then how come the poor tribesmen gathered all these assets within a short period of time and mastered the skills to use them against world’s 6th largest military machine i.e. Pakistan army.

Pakistan army and security management have no doubts about Indian support to TTP, a banned terrorist organization committing horrific terrorism nationwide since its inception in 2005 (The same year when India adopted new military doctrine and raised a new military command along with Pakistani border). Pakistan army has seized not only Indian made weapons in Swat and FATA but also has eliminated number of Indian combatants. Proofs have already been given to civilian government to take up the matter at world forums but there is no sign of urgency in this regard in Islamabad which is not only strange but questionable as well.

Though Pakistan army has fought successfully with Indian 4GWs in Swat and FATA but due to lack of political will was unable to gain any higher moral ground in community of nations. On the other hand India already has built a case against Pakistan as a country being used as staging ground for terrorism against its neighbors.

CHINESE SLANT

Although China is also mentioned in the statement by Indian army chief as a potential enemy in the war along with Pakistan but it is no secret that India has always used foreign military aid against Pakistan. India has one clear advantage over China in current geopolitics in the world. There is an embargo on China for Western high tech military equipment after Tiananmen Square incident 1989. On the other hand India along with a healthy economy has no such restrictions imposed for military hardware despite worst human right conditions thanks to global hypocrisy and double standards of West and US. Still India lacks in many areas when it comes to military balance vis-à-vis China.

China sensed the importance of indigenization a long ago and started to develop its military production facilities in 1960s. Now Chinese military complexes not only supply advanced weapons to its own forces but also export large amount of these weapons to other countries including Pakistan. Not only this, but China helped Pakistan to build its own military industry after debacle of 1971.

With its well established economy and knowledge base, China has crossed many milestones in military hardware production. Now apart from US and Russia China is the only country in the world to run a 5th generation military jet fighter project. Apart from its indigenization efforts sheer number of Chinese forces is another factor why India would never think about carrying out any military adventure against China. Apart from this military comparison China unlike Pakistan or India is a veto power in UN Security Council and can dissuade any move by India in UN against Pakistan or China.

The mentioning of China in Indian chief statement is a mere indication to West and US that now India is ready to take a role of regional power and both US and West can trust India as any ally against communist China. US is banking on India to compete with China in economics and military fields but friendship of Pakistan and China is a big hurdle for India in both these fields. India is eyeing permanent seat in UN since long now and the current statement can also be a signal to US and West to accept India as a big player in the region along with China.

All the military aid would be used against Pakistan in actual war that is evident from history as well when US helped India against China in 1962. Most of US weapons were used against Pakistan in 1965 war.

COLD START AND POSSIBLE PAKISTANI RESPONSE

As indicated in its response Pakistani military leadership has made it clear that any misadventure by India can result in unavoidable consequences. Indian doctrine is flawed at many places.

Firstly, India would have to have a solid reason and pretext to launch any attack no matter low limited against Pakistan.

Secondly, Indians have no gauge of Pakistani military planning to counter Cold Start. It must bear in mind that Pakistan military announced in July 2005 that it is fully aware of Indian Cold Start doctrine. Pakistan may deploy its unconventional arms much earlier than India has envisaged.

Thirdly, Due to Pakistani preparedness there is clear lack in synergy required in Indian forces to implement Cold Start successfully. Indian Navy would not be able to blockade Pakistani Navy in Karachi as now Pakistan Navy has two more naval bases in Omara and Gawadar. Likewise if Indian air force deploys its front line jet fighter and bombers on forward air bases (FABs) Pakistani cruise missile can come into equation much earlier.

Fourthly,
a time line of 48 hours or 96 hours to put Pakistan in a military submission to India with help of armor corps and air support can be proved as dangerous as claims of capturing Lahore in one day proved in 1965. A prolonged combat on borders can put strategic Indian infrastructure in danger. Pakistan air force can launch attacks on dams built on Chenab and Jehlum rivers in Kashmir, Pakistan strategic force command would be in position to hit Indian economic centers like Silicon Valley in Bangalore.

Fifthly, Indian military establishment failed to see how a handful of Kashmiri fighters made 700,000 Indian army troops permanently stationed in one valley since decades. Despite presence of this force, which is more than total regular army of Pakistan, Indian government has failed to curb freedom struggle in Kashmir and under this circumstance any war between Pakistan and India would be last thing the Indian army would ever dream in Kashmir. Indian military would be in no position to control Kashmiris and fight Pakistan army at same time.

Sixthly, Indian military establishment is relying much more on President Zardari’s announcement that Pakistan will not use its nuclear weapon as first strike. In reality it is Pakistan army who will decide which weapon is to be used when and where.

Last but not the least India is relying on its ever increasing air power not only for Cold Start but to neutralize any Pakistani deployed missiles in a preemptive strikes. It seems that time for such an operation has almost gone for Indian air force. In 2010 PAF would be reshaped to take on the challenges of 21st century. PAF has already established parity in Air Born Early Warning capability after inducting SAAB Erieye AEW&C platform. In June 2010 Pakistan would start receiving state of the art F-16 Block52 fighters from US and PAF Air defense system is going to enhance its capabilities manifold by inducting MBDA’s Spada2000 medium range SAM system. Though Indian air force currently is enjoying numerical superiority but India can’t put all its war assets against Pakistan in a war keeping in view the size of India.

Another problem which India is going to face during any execution of Cold Start is the gauge of nuclear threshold of Pakistan, a point where Pakistan would decide to go for unconventional warfare. This is where Army Chief Asfaq Perviz Kiyani hinted that consequences of any misadventure in a nuclear overhang can be suicidal for India.

SUGGESTIONS

Indian aggression in future would increase. Recent trends of buying military hardware by India are a clear indication to this fact. Pakistan armed forces don’t need to match Indian counterparts but rather require higher level of preparedness. It is not Cold Start that must alarm security managers but it is 4th generation warfare by Indian intelligence and military establishment that must be a source of contention for Pakistan. Pakistani military and civilian government needs to take some steps in order to defeat Indian 4GWs tactics in FATA and to prevent India from deploying its forces ever again.

Pakistan must maintain a strategic ambiguity about first use of its nuclear weapons against any enemy including India. An early announcement would always put Pakistan on wrong footing as it will provide another opportunity to Indian and world media to talk about Pakistan’s obsession against India.

Pakistan army must complete all the counter insurgency operation as soon as possible and strike units must report back giving control to the civilian forces in areas which have been cleared of militants. The good news is Pakistan army has realized the importance of civilian forces. Army Chief Gen Ashfaq Kiyani vows to support NWFP police with equipment and training while speaking at police academy in Peshawar.

In any future force stand off Pakistan military must make sure that it has deployed enough strategic weapons that cannot be compromised by a pre-emptive strike by Indian air force or other strikes.

Pakistan must build a strong case against India and her involvement in Pakistan particularly in supporting terrorism in Baluchistan and FATA. Pakistan army has given proofs to government and the ball is in democratic government’s court to take the case on international forums like UN where Pakistan easily can seek Chinese help in order to unearth Indian intentions against Pakistan and peace in the region.

In any future political crisis in the country, Pakistan army must keep itself isolated from political turmoil and remained focused on external threats as any involvement in politics would degrade Pakistan’s ability to respond to a prompt military challenge posed by India.

Government must ensure that Pakistan armed forces modernization program remain on track and government always has a reliable financing on short notice for an urgent need if armed forces raise a demand.

Pakistan must quit current defensive foreign policy adopted in Musharraf era. Pakistan must make it clear to world that any act of terrorism must not be linked to Pakistan without proper investigations. Recent student crisis in UK has exposed this weakness in foreign policy where government was failed to react in time when innocent Pakistani students were charged for planning a terrorist attack. Similar ineptness was evident on part of government in case of Samjhota Express incident, which was wrongly blamed on Pakistan but the government at that time failed to respond on international forum.

Media management of Pakistan armed forces and its operations inside country has always been weak. In Pakistan, unlike India, media is not always behind army. Despite the gains by Pakistan army in war on terror in time span of three to five months in Swat and South Waziristan there is still a perception that Pakistan army is unable to combat terrorism and some even go to an extent that Pakistan army might be supporting Taliban. These perceptions are culmination of a weak media policy by government and needs an urgent attention to change these misperceptions.

Source: Text: Asian Tribune, Cross posted at There are no sunglasses Image: militarystrat.wordpress.com/
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the ‘Wonders of Pakistan’. The contents of this article too are the sole responsibility of the author(s). WoP will not be responsible or liable for any inaccurate or incorrect statements contained in this post.

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22 CommentsLeave a comment

  1. You betray a lack of depth as well as relevant information to make for good analysis. Don’t mistake my intention, I’m Pakistani. It’s pathetic to see what passes for analysis being posted by poorly informed Pakistanis in blog and our media. I’m afraid the world (and, importantly, Indians) will think this is the kind or depth of intellect we have. You should stick to discussing fashion and leave analysis of military and foreign policy to people in the know.

    • @ Ruco,

      Articles uploaded on this blog may carry divergent views on a single or multiple issues. They are published to allow a fair use of view/s, opinion/s, thought/s expressed by reputed writers from all around the world. All views expressed are entertained and are put into e-print, the final judgment being left to the readers to decide themselves what is right, what is wrong.

      We are neither on the left, right, east, west north or south side, nor do we believe in such sectarianism amongst peoples of the world. We print and publish what is print worthy. And above all we believe in democratic right of our writers and readers to have, hold and express a specific opinion/viewpoint even though many may disagree but again many may agree as well. It is in this very spirit that your views too, are being reproduced, in verbatim here on these pages [some matter though in your comments I could not make out, may be my English is really that bad].
      With good wishes,
      Editor.

  2. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Swat Crisis, Lahore News. Lahore News said: #Lahore Operation Cold Start, the possible war scenario between India … http://bit.ly/5QMdCN […]

  3. @Dear Ruco . The poor Taliban are being killed becouse of such Pseudo-intelectuals .They motivating them behind the scene otherwise a follower of peace i.e Islam .how he could be so barbaric .They have propagated their interpretation of Islam to fulfil their wested interest for the last many decades which has resulted an intolrant society in Pakistan Now it is the duty of each educated youth of Pakistan to come farward and cooperate with the Jardari’s Govt and army for the total eradication of such elements to make the country realy Pak .

  4. Indians though have a modern and advance military, yet they still are not in a position to attack on two big fronts.
    Like recently in a press conference, Indian Army Chief said that his armored capabilities are limited to Day attack as they don’t have night vision capability in their tanks, on other hand Pakistan’s Al-Khalid Tank possesses that capability. The most concerning thing for Pakistan and the Military Top Brass, however, is that Pakistan’s economy isn’t going in the right direction which is hampering the modernization of Armed Forces.

  5. Operation Cold start is already on now the circumstances are pulling for operation HOT-START .Let’s wait and see what is hidden in the womb of future. Now entire world is taking itrest in the affairs of the region .They are now bound to perform their duty to solve the prersent crisis Their crisis managers are being given enogh opportunity to show their talent .and they will never like Hot-start operation operative till they are trying their best .India konws well when & How of its actions.

  6. Well no doubt Indians cannot see any progress and peace in Pakistan; neither would they like so in China…
    Pakistanis should take this as a very serious threat. We are a great nation, and we should show unity in our ranks in all respects.
    India knows what Pakistan can do. They know our armed forces’ capability…..Although we do have tough time at present but this will not continue for ever… We pray Almighty Allah bless our Pakistan.

  7. The article is good enough to explain many aspects of both the armies. And Mr. Ruco, any military analysis requires an understanding of foreign policy. Moreover, a good analysis is always based upon ground realities & not over leaked intelligence reports. It sounds a bit funny at a place like this to talk fashion.
    Thanx to editor for nice words. KM.

  8. Dr Tewari is still not ready to believe what the Indian govt is doing. Nice Dr. KM.

  9. @ Khalid , What I feel at present that ground realities suggest that there is no need to attack on Pakistan instead provide ample opportunity to Pak army to extend its Red Star operation in collaboration with U.S and NATO in all those areas where it is urgently required .Indian army should be vigilent to deal with those terrorist who dare to take shelter in J&K due to pressure on them by WOT .

  10. […] Issues: III (X).30/11/2009 Arundhati Roy on Human Costs of India’s Economic Growth: IV(XI). 26/1/2010 Operation Cold Start, the possible war scenario between India, Pakistan & China (XII). […]

  11. […] Issues: III (X).30/11/2009 Arundhati Roy on Human Costs of India’s Economic Growth: IV(XI). 26/1/2010 Operation Cold Start, the possible war scenario between India, Pakistan & China (XII). […]

  12. I can understand the impulse of “patriotic” Pakistanis to support the army no matter what, to blame India and the West for the country’s ills. The truth in fact is that army-centric state structure is robbing ordinary Pakistanis of their future, forcing them into poverty and ignorance by sucking up most of the nation’s resources to fight a phantom enemy “India,” which has never and will never attack the Pak’s, but has and will continue to defeat Pak each time it attacks India. The generals have their cars and scotch and mansions and foreign bank accounts and send their children to US colleges while the army and also the Pak media feed falsehoods and paranoia to the ordinary people to make sure that the army budgets are not cut. It is a tragedy of the highest order and it cannot end well for anyone. But end it will.

  13. It is the money flow which is army centric where as mass is mulla centric. They are born to die and not to live.

  14. Dear friend, It is true that the Indians have a modern & advanced military. In fact, they have advanced military equipments. You have wrong information about India’s armoured capabilities. India in fact has one of the most sophisticated tanks – Arjun Tank & T-92 which are a class apart & have all the features a modern tank can possibly have.
    Indians are very good at servicing & repairing & have reconditioning contracts for German Tanks as well. The ‘Arjun Tank’ is an indigenous tank built by India & can be compared to the best of the best US & Russian tanks. The worst part of the story for Pakistan is, the strong Indian economy with more than five factories to manufacture tanks, they have a capacity to build & reinforce their capacities in no time.
    the strong Indian economy with more than five factories to manufacture tanks they have a capacity to build & reinforce their capacities in no time.

  15. Hello ppl,
    I am an Indian….and firstly
    Farzana I think the article is quite honest and has a fresh perspective of reality (for the date posted) as apposed to the traditional ones that directly jump into numbers and casualties. And it still is with a strong shade of patriotism.
    Let me clarify where my interest in the article comes from, I was reading about the poor economic times that are looming over the world and wanted to see what Pakistan’s current perspective is on peace. Coz I also wanted to gauge the possibilities of extreme scenarios – as personally I think a war wouldn’t be good for India. Being a selfish patriot, with our economy developing at a good rate, I don’t want the attention to shift from the path of development that we are in right now. Having said that I am sure no Indian would be protesting if a war is triggered from the other side. But the question is in the scenario of a war; how long could Pakistan last economically? It’s a pure curious economic question and not a challenge of any sorts on patriotism.
    I would like to state the obvious, that no country (in modern history) has been able to prosper purely based on military might. It could get some attention, but it would not improve the life of its citizens. Look at the western economies or even the envious China – They had the army for a long time, but its only over last few decades due to rapid economic growth and infrastructure development that their influence in the world politics and economics has risen to the current level.
    I think we have realized it. Although we love, respect our military and continue to sustain the investment. We have realized the importance of education and standard of living of normal citizens and invest heavily on these aspects.
    I have read a lot about the economic & military aid that Pakistan has been receiving, but with these tough times ahead – Do you honestly believe that the western economies would continue to provide this? or write off your debts, when they struggled to reach an agreement to bail out one of their own constituent states?
    We have months (if not years) in our lives in India when we do not think about Pakistan, China or war. How about you?
    I am not writing all this to start a war of words or to provoke you, just merely trying to understand the mentality of the public in your country.
    Best Regards,
    Dharma
    PS: @ Ruco …sorry to disappoint but I as an ordinary Indian (no intellectual!) ..think this is a good article. Although my reply might not entirely be in sync with the topic.

    • @ Dharma,
      First of all accept my thanks for putting up such a pertinent comment on our subject post. And now about some very relevant points you raised.

      As far as the people of Pakistan are concerned, I don’t think anybody here would wish a war with India. Rhetoric apart [by our rulers as well as the Mullahs], common man on the street is least bothered about the wars, about who has more or may have more firepower or who has or may have the nuclear edge.

      Even in the higher echelons of the power, I do believe there is a strong cognizance of Pakistan being involved in a war on terror especially when some homegrown Islamic zealots and similar such other ones [who might be fighting or launching their so called Jihad against the state and the people of Pakistan], I don’t think it logical that such foolish step be taken by this country.

      As regards your point about the Pakistani economy being sustainable for a war or not! Frankly speaking this economy thing is a matter of concern for the rulers not the Pakistani folk, who are making all type of sacrifices i.e. economical, physical and even of their lives, so if there is war, which I do believe will be a suicidal war, not only for Pakistan but for India as well. As you have rightly pointed out, with its booming economy India too could hardly afford a war with Pakistan.

      Again you are right, its not the military might that makes a country strong. Its rather the will of the people as a nation to remain steadfast, work for its material as well as human resources and last but not least the values that it must always hold dear to itself [under all circumstances]. Pls see also: https://wondersofpakistan.wordpress.com/2011/11/12/after-us-now-chinese-bases-in-pakistan/

  16. Well, it seems all comments are coming from unprofessional people (including the writer). The comment made by Indian Army chief was general, as it was his duty to keep his army ready, and motivate his men ( which is a common practice). Gen Kyani’s views were similar, motivating his men and people. It’s a kind of psychological war game, and ordinary citizens do get involved in it, without knowing the truth. Coming back to war scenario, nowadays no army will fight face to face, unless it is war like Kargil. All future wars will be fought from war rooms, using electronic warfare, counter electronic warfare, jamming of missiles, radar etc, thereby denying the enemy to use its hardware, hence only the army which is stronger in electronic warfare will emerge as the winner. Regarding Indians involvements in Balochistan, India does not have the capability to carry out such operation. (Again psychological war game by Pakistani army.)

    • @Swapnil,

      All though I agree with your view point of the quality of Article , its preposterous to think that war room is the new war front ; the war front remains the same out there on wheat fields /swamps and mountains. A common man or soldier on either side of the border is equally zealot for her country and they will give in their maximum to ensure their side wins.

      However Pakistan has shown constant confusion on part of their foreign and domestic policies , its like an Orphaned child which steals the sweets from shop and on being caught pretends to be a sufferer being an Orphan . While China / India and other booming countries have shown to follow a measurable and consistent policy across the years. They have measured responses ( response don’t mean some flamboyant statements by top brasses but the polity decisions ) and carefully planned doctrines ( I am not referring to Cold Start here).

      To some extent Pakistan is responsible for shabby state of Afghanistan together with US and Russia . The way ahead is a healthy Afghanistan but I don’t see any positive coming from Pakistan even in future , if Pakistan continues to behave in such manner , holding India/US as Demons rather than achieving something on real ground .

      PS : If you ask me to predict , Pakistan will continue to suffer at least for the current generation , until it identifies that its existence is far greater than being neighbor of India , the self esteem of common pakistani needs to stand for his self betterment.

  17. Had the author done some more research on the Indian viewpoint, it wud hv been far better. India in dis article has been depicted as an “enemy” and Pakistan as the “hero”. The ttp was actually formed by u and the us helping Afghans combat the Soviets. Also if India had funded the terrorists how cud the mumbai attacks..parliament attacks…bombings etc etc take place. Also is the Pakistani govt so wierd so as to not use evidence against India in higher organizations. The actual reason is dat da evidence is not solid. There is a possibility of misguided Indians becuming terrorists and who r killed but arent there Pakistani terrorists also. What abt Afghanis and other misguided Europeans. R they all govt agents?

  18. Dear Author,

    Don’t intend to hurt your sentiments but whatever you have written is philosophy. How can you say that we would use our unconventional weapons too soon? I mean what unconventional weapons do we have other than the deadening pollution in Karachi?

    Be it India or Afghanistan or Iran or Ecuador, our Army would go to the battlefield, the cheif would negotiate a price, get our men killed and come back naked. What else do you expect of our army since the aftermath of 1971, we are all naked and even raped ;(

  19. @ Bakir, The pseudointellectuals in your country are still living in a different world. They are having mask of peace on their face but their inner is still polluted due to the religion which they call Islam. It is the Wahhabi Islam which is trying to replace the Islam which we had welcomed in peninsular India. Now the followers of such Islam are tending to pollute Kashmir as well.


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